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1. Lig · Turkey
Kayserispor vs Manisa F.K. prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Kayserispor host Manisa F.K. in the 1. Lig (Turkey) on 10 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Kayserispor Win — Kayserispor to win. It was published at odds of 1.42, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Kayserispor 3–2 Manisa F.K..
Going into the match, Kayserispor had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 6. Manisa F.K. had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Kayserispor's last 10 and 7 of Manisa F.K.'s last 10; 5 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Kayserispor averaged 1.63 goals scored and 1.25 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Manisa F.K. averaged 1.50 scored and 1.67 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.58 goals from Kayserispor and 1.15 from Manisa F.K.. From that it rates a home win at 68%, a draw at 18% and an away win at 14%, against 63%, 21% and 16% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 68%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Kayserispor (green) and Manisa F.K. (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayserispor | WWWDL | 1.80 | 0.60 | 40% | 50% |
| Manisa F.K. | LDLLD | 1.80 | 1.40 | 70% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| Kayserispor Win | 65% | 1.42 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 62% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.73 |
| Kayserispor HT & FT | 44% | 2.10 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.