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Emperor Cup · Japan
Kawasaki Frontale vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki prediction and preview
7 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Kawasaki Frontale host Tegevajaro Miyazaki in the Emperor Cup (Japan) on 7 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Tegevajaro Miyazaki to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.90, which the bookmaker market rated at about 49% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Kawasaki Frontale 2–0 Tegevajaro Miyazaki.
Going into the match, Kawasaki Frontale had won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 13. Tegevajaro Miyazaki had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Kawasaki Frontale's last 10 and 6 of Tegevajaro Miyazaki's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Kawasaki Frontale averaged 1.73 goals scored and 1.27 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Tegevajaro Miyazaki averaged 1.42 scored and 0.92 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.44 goals from Kawasaki Frontale and 0.81 from Tegevajaro Miyazaki. From that it rates a home win at 72%, a draw at 18% and an away win at 10%, against 51%, 26% and 23% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 28%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Kawasaki Frontale (green) and Tegevajaro Miyazaki (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kawasaki Frontale | WDWWL | 2.00 | 1.30 | 80% | 60% |
| Tegevajaro Miyazaki | DWWWL | 1.40 | 1.40 | 60% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 77% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 71% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 66% | 1.37 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 62% | 1.49 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.64 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.71 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 45% | 2.05 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.