Home › League stats › J1 League › Kawasaki Frontale vs Nagoya Grampus
J1 League · Japan
Kawasaki Frontale vs Nagoya Grampus prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 07:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Kawasaki Frontale host Nagoya Grampus in the J1 League (Japan) on 11 Oct 2026, 07:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Kawasaki Frontale 1–2 Nagoya Grampus.
Going into the match, Kawasaki Frontale had won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 21 and conceding 12. Nagoya Grampus had won 3, drawn 0 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 18 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Kawasaki Frontale's last 10 and 6 of Nagoya Grampus's last 10; 6 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Kawasaki Frontale averaged 1.75 goals scored and 1.17 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Nagoya Grampus averaged 1.08 scored and 2.00 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.99 goals from Kawasaki Frontale and 1.23 from Nagoya Grampus. From that it rates a home win at 54%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 22%, against 52%, 24% and 24% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 63%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Kawasaki Frontale (green) and Nagoya Grampus (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kawasaki Frontale | WWDWW | 2.10 | 1.20 | 70% | 60% |
| Nagoya Grampus | WLLLL | 1.10 | 1.80 | 60% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 76% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.28 |
| BTTS Yes | 62% | 1.50 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 62% | 1.53 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.