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Tweede Divisie · Netherlands
Katwijk vs Kozakken Boys prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Katwijk host Kozakken Boys in the Tweede Divisie (Netherlands) on 3 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.39, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Katwijk 1–5 Kozakken Boys.
Going into the match, Katwijk had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 12. Kozakken Boys had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 24 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Katwijk's last 10 and 9 of Kozakken Boys's last 10; 5 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Katwijk averaged 2.50 goals scored and 1.38 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Kozakken Boys averaged 2.71 scored and 1.57 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.23 goals from Katwijk and 2.18 from Kozakken Boys. From that it rates a home win at 20%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 58%, against 42%, 24% and 34% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 64%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Katwijk (green) and Kozakken Boys (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katwijk | WLDWD | 1.70 | 1.20 | 70% | 50% |
| Kozakken Boys | DWWWW | 2.40 | 1.40 | 90% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 70% | 1.32 |
| BTTS Yes | 66% | 1.39 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.65 |
| Under 11.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Katwijk Win | 42% | 2.15 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 38% | 2.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.