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J2 League · Japan
Kataller Toyama vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Kataller Toyama host Tegevajaro Miyazaki in the J2 League (Japan) on 11 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Kataller Toyama 1–1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki.
Going into the match, Kataller Toyama had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 15. Tegevajaro Miyazaki had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Kataller Toyama's last 10 and 5 of Tegevajaro Miyazaki's last 10; 7 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Kataller Toyama averaged 2.10 goals scored and 1.20 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Tegevajaro Miyazaki averaged 1.31 scored and 1.00 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.54 goals from Kataller Toyama and 1.09 from Tegevajaro Miyazaki. From that it rates a home win at 47%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 26%, against 42%, 28% and 29% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 73%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Kataller Toyama (green) and Tegevajaro Miyazaki (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kataller Toyama | WLDWD | 1.80 | 1.50 | 50% | 70% |
| Tegevajaro Miyazaki | LDWWW | 1.30 | 1.50 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 2 Sep 2026 · Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1–2 Kataller Toyama
- 30 May 2026 · Kataller Toyama 1–0 Tegevajaro Miyazaki
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.73 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.