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1st Division · Albania
Kastrioti Krujë vs Oriku prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Kastrioti Krujë host Oriku in the 1st Division (Albania) on 11 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Kastrioti Krujë Win — Kastrioti Krujë to win. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Kastrioti Krujë 2–0 Oriku.
Going into the match, Kastrioti Krujë had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 18. Oriku had won 0, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 5, with 2 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Kastrioti Krujë's last 10 and 2 of Oriku's last 5; 8 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Kastrioti Krujë averaged 1.50 goals scored and 1.25 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Oriku averaged 0.00 scored and 3.00 conceded across 2.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.64 goals from Kastrioti Krujë and 0.65 from Oriku. From that it rates a home win at 79%, a draw at 15% and an away win at 6%, against 67%, 20% and 13% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 79%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Kastrioti Krujë (green) and Oriku (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kastrioti Krujë | WDWLD | 1.40 | 1.80 | 70% | 80% |
| Oriku | LLLLL | 0.40 | 2.20 | 40% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 71% | 1.30 |
| Kastrioti Krujë Win | 67% | 1.33 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.75 |
| BTTS No | 53% | 1.78 |
| Kastrioti Krujë HT & FT | 48% | 1.95 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 46% | 2.05 |
| 1-0 | 14% | 6.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.