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2. Lig · Turkey
Kastamonuspor vs Arnavutköy Belediyespor prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Kastamonuspor host Arnavutköy Belediyespor in the 2. Lig (Turkey) on 4 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Kastamonuspor to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 70% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Kastamonuspor 2–1 Arnavutköy Belediyespor.
Going into the match, Kastamonuspor had won 1, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 7 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 22. Arnavutköy Belediyespor had won 2, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 7, with 5 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Kastamonuspor's last 7 and 2 of Arnavutköy Belediyespor's last 7; 6 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Kastamonuspor averaged 0.75 goals scored and 2.50 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Arnavutköy Belediyespor averaged 0.50 scored and 1.25 conceded across 4.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.52 goals from Kastamonuspor and 1.11 from Arnavutköy Belediyespor. From that it rates a home win at 46%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 26%, against 41%, 29% and 30% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 74%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Kastamonuspor (green) and Arnavutköy Belediyespor (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kastamonuspor | LWLLL | 0.86 | 3.14 | 43% | 86% |
| Arnavutköy Belediyespor | LLLLW | 0.71 | 1.57 | 29% | 29% |
Averages over each side's last 7 matches in our results archive before this fixture.