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2. Lig · Turkey

Kastamonuspor vs Arnavutköy Belediyespor prediction and preview

4 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Double Chance 1XOdds 1.28Market probability 70%Final score 2–1

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Kastamonuspor host Arnavutköy Belediyespor in the 2. Lig (Turkey) on 4 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Kastamonuspor to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 70% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Kastamonuspor 2–1 Arnavutköy Belediyespor.

Going into the match, Kastamonuspor had won 1, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 7 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 22. Arnavutköy Belediyespor had won 2, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 7, with 5 scored and 11 conceded.

Both teams scored in 3 of Kastamonuspor's last 7 and 2 of Arnavutköy Belediyespor's last 7; 6 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Kastamonuspor averaged 0.75 goals scored and 2.50 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Arnavutköy Belediyespor averaged 0.50 scored and 1.25 conceded across 4.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.52 goals from Kastamonuspor and 1.11 from Arnavutköy Belediyespor. From that it rates a home win at 46%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 26%, against 41%, 29% and 30% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 74%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Kastamonuspor (green) and Arnavutköy Belediyespor (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form100% – 0%
Attack67% – 33%
Defence43% – 57%
Head-to-head80% – 20%
Goals63% – 38%
Overall strength63% – 37%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
KastamonusporLWLLL0.863.1443%86%
Arnavutköy BelediyesporLLLLW0.711.5729%29%

Averages over each side's last 7 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

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