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Ettan - Norra · Sweden
Karlberg vs Sollentuna prediction and preview
2 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Karlberg host Sollentuna in the Ettan - Norra (Sweden) on 2 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.22, which the bookmaker market rated at about 77% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Karlberg 3–2 Sollentuna.
Going into the match, Karlberg had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 16. Sollentuna had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of Karlberg's last 10 and 6 of Sollentuna's last 10; 4 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Karlberg averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.42 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Sollentuna averaged 1.15 scored and 1.08 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.35 goals from Karlberg and 1.23 from Sollentuna. From that it rates a home win at 38%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 33%, against 44%, 25% and 31% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 74%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Karlberg (green) and Sollentuna (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karlberg | DLLWL | 0.70 | 1.60 | 20% | 40% |
| Sollentuna | LDLLW | 1.00 | 1.70 | 60% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 21 Jul 2026 · Sollentuna 1–2 Karlberg
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.75 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 46% | 2.05 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.