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Ettan - Norra · Sweden
Karlberg vs Assyriska FF prediction and preview
1 Nov 2026, 12:00 UTC · Stadshagens IP
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Karlberg host Assyriska FF in the Ettan - Norra (Sweden) on 1 Nov 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Karlberg had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 20. Assyriska FF had won 4, drawn 0 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 20 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Karlberg's last 10 and 7 of Assyriska FF's last 10; 5 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Karlberg averaged 1.43 goals scored and 1.43 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Assyriska FF averaged 1.29 scored and 1.57 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.50 goals from Karlberg and 1.51 from Assyriska FF. From that it rates a home win at 37%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 37%, against 42%, 24% and 34% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 62%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Karlberg (green) and Assyriska FF (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karlberg | DLDWD | 1.00 | 2.00 | 50% | 50% |
| Assyriska FF | LLWLL | 1.60 | 2.00 | 70% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 19 Apr 2026 · Assyriska FF 3–4 Karlberg
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 72% | 1.30 |
| BTTS Yes | 66% | 1.44 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 64% | 1.44 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 3.5 Goals | 44% | 2.10 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.