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2. Lig · Turkey
Karacabey Belediyespor vs 1461 Trabzon FK prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Karacabey Belediyespor host 1461 Trabzon FK in the 2. Lig (Turkey) on 11 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.54, which the bookmaker market rated at about 59% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Karacabey Belediyespor 2–2 1461 Trabzon FK.
Going into the match, Karacabey Belediyespor had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 9 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 12. 1461 Trabzon FK had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 8, with 17 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Karacabey Belediyespor's last 9 and 7 of 1461 Trabzon FK's last 8; 4 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Karacabey Belediyespor averaged 1.20 goals scored and 2.00 conceded across 5 matches; away from home 1461 Trabzon FK averaged 1.33 scored and 1.00 conceded across 3.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.17 goals from Karacabey Belediyespor and 1.96 from 1461 Trabzon FK. From that it rates a home win at 22%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 55%, against 36%, 27% and 36% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 60%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Karacabey Belediyespor (green) and 1461 Trabzon FK (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karacabey Belediyespor | DWLWD | 1.44 | 1.33 | 56% | 44% |
| 1461 Trabzon FK | WWDLL | 2.13 | 2.13 | 88% | 88% |
Averages over each side's last 9 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 76% | 1.21 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 62% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.54 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.70 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 45% | 2.10 |
| Karacabey Belediyespor Win | 37% | 2.45 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.30 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.