Kapaz vs Zira prediction and preview

18 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Over 1.5 GoalsOdds 1.36Market probability 68%Final score 1–1

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Kapaz host Zira in the Premyer Liqa (Azerbaijan) on 18 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 68% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Kapaz 1–1 Zira.

Going into the match, Kapaz had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 11. Zira had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 11 conceded.

Both teams scored in 3 of Kapaz's last 10 and 4 of Zira's last 10; 2 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Kapaz averaged 0.86 goals scored and 1.14 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Zira averaged 1.00 scored and 1.67 conceded across 9.

Our team-strength model expects about 0.83 goals from Kapaz and 1.03 from Zira. From that it rates a home win at 27%, a draw at 35% and an away win at 38%, against 21%, 28% and 51% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 57%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Kapaz (green) and Zira (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form67% – 33%

Attack67% – 33%

Defence62% – 38%

Head-to-head7% – 93%

Goals14% – 86%

Overall strength43% – 56%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Kapaz	WDWLW	0.90	1.10	30%	20%
Zira	DLDLW	1.20	1.10	40%	30%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	72%	1.30
Double Chance 12	71%	1.28
Over 1.5 Goals	68%	1.36
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	63%	1.50
Under 2.5 Goals	56%	1.65
BTTS No	53%	1.67
Zira Win	51%	1.75
Over 2.5 Goals	44%	2.20

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.