Home › League stats › Ykkösliiga › KäPa vs MP
Ykkösliiga · Finland
KäPa vs MP prediction and preview
9 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
KäPa host MP in the Ykkösliiga (Finland) on 9 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: KäPa 1–1 MP.
Going into the match, KäPa had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 21. MP had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of KäPa's last 10 and 5 of MP's last 10; 8 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home KäPa averaged 1.23 goals scored and 1.77 conceded across 13 matches; away from home MP averaged 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded across 15.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.43 goals from KäPa and 1.58 from MP. From that it rates a home win at 33%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 40%, against 46%, 25% and 29% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 62%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between KäPa (green) and MP (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 29 Jul 2026 · MP 2–1 KäPa
- 19 Apr 2026 · MP 0–1 KäPa
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| BTTS Yes | 63% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 61% | 1.57 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 60% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| Over 10.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
| KäPa Win | 45% | 1.91 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.