Home › League stats › NWSL Women › Kansas City W vs Bay FC W
NWSL Women · USA
Kansas City W vs Bay FC W prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 22:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Kansas City W host Bay FC W in the NWSL Women (USA) on 3 Oct 2026, 22:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Kansas City W 5–1 Bay FC W.
Going into the match, Kansas City W had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 14. Bay FC W had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 9 of Kansas City W's last 10 and 5 of Bay FC W's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Kansas City W averaged 2.55 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Bay FC W averaged 0.83 scored and 1.58 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.18 goals from Kansas City W and 0.87 from Bay FC W. From that it rates a home win at 67%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 13%, against 60%, 21% and 19% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 59%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas City W | WLDWW | 2.00 | 1.40 | 90% | 60% |
| Bay FC W | LWDLL | 1.10 | 1.60 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 5 Sep 2026 · Bay FC W 1–2 Kansas City W
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 74% | 1.25 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| Kansas City W Win | 60% | 1.50 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.67 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.