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Thai League 2 · Thailand
Kanchanaburi vs Police Tero prediction and preview
13 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Kanchanaburi host Police Tero in the Thai League 2 (Thailand) on 13 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.75, which the bookmaker market rated at about 57% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Kanchanaburi 1–0 Police Tero.
Going into the match, Kanchanaburi had won 1, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 8 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 12. Police Tero had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 9, with 12 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Kanchanaburi's last 8 and 5 of Police Tero's last 9; 4 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Kanchanaburi averaged 0.80 goals scored and 1.40 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Police Tero averaged 1.25 scored and 1.50 conceded across 4.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.55 goals from Kanchanaburi and 1.12 from Police Tero. From that it rates a home win at 46%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 26%, against 57%, 23% and 20% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 50%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Kanchanaburi (green) and Police Tero (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kanchanaburi | LDDDW | 1.25 | 1.50 | 75% | 50% |
| Police Tero | DLLWW | 1.33 | 1.33 | 56% | 56% |
Averages over each side's last 9 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 76% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.32 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 60% | 1.55 |
| Kanchanaburi Win | 58% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.75 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.65 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
| Kanchanaburi HT & FT | 39% | 2.40 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.