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Meistriliiga · Estonia
Kalju Nomme vs Laagri prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Kalju Nomme host Laagri in the Meistriliiga (Estonia) on 10 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Kalju Nomme 0–1 Laagri.
Going into the match, Kalju Nomme had won 5, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 26 and conceding 12. Laagri had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 23 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Kalju Nomme's last 10 and 6 of Laagri's last 10; 6 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Kalju Nomme averaged 1.93 goals scored and 1.13 conceded across 15 matches; away from home Laagri averaged 1.77 scored and 1.92 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.57 goals from Kalju Nomme and 1.39 from Laagri. From that it rates a home win at 41%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 33%, against 60%, 22% and 18% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 57%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Kalju Nomme (green) and Laagri (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalju Nomme | WWLLL | 2.60 | 1.20 | 50% | 60% |
| Laagri | WDWLL | 2.30 | 1.30 | 60% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 22 Aug 2026 · Laagri 1–0 Kalju Nomme
- 20 May 2026 · Kalju Nomme 1–0 Laagri
- 8 Apr 2026 · Laagri 0–2 Kalju Nomme
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 62% | 1.50 |
| Kalju Nomme Win | 60% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.62 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over 3.5 Goals | 42% | 2.20 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.