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III Liga - Group 2 · Poland
Kalisz vs Lech Poznań II prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Kalisz host Lech Poznań II in the III Liga - Group 2 (Poland) on 10 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Kalisz 2–4 Lech Poznań II.
Going into the match, Kalisz had won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 15. Lech Poznań II had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Kalisz's last 10 and 8 of Lech Poznań II's last 10; 4 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Kalisz averaged 1.56 goals scored and 1.11 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Lech Poznań II averaged 1.67 scored and 1.92 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.72 goals from Kalisz and 2.04 from Lech Poznań II. From that it rates a home win at 32%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 45%, against 42%, 24% and 34% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 72%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalisz | LWDDD | 1.50 | 1.50 | 60% | 40% |
| Lech Poznań II | DWDLW | 1.90 | 1.70 | 80% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 25 Jul 2026 · Kalisz 2–2 Lech Poznań II
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 74% | 1.24 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.25 |
| BTTS Yes | 61% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 42% | 2.25 |
| Kalisz Win | 41% | 2.15 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.