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Premier Soccer League · South Africa
Kaizer Chiefs vs Stellenbosch prediction and preview
13 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Kaizer Chiefs host Stellenbosch in the Premier Soccer League (South Africa) on 13 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Kaizer Chiefs 1–1 Stellenbosch.
Going into the match, Kaizer Chiefs had won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 11. Stellenbosch had won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Kaizer Chiefs's last 10 and 3 of Stellenbosch's last 10; 4 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Kaizer Chiefs averaged 1.29 goals scored and 0.86 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Stellenbosch averaged 0.63 scored and 0.75 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.09 goals from Kaizer Chiefs and 0.82 from Stellenbosch. From that it rates a home win at 40%, a draw at 34% and an away win at 26%, against 54%, 29% and 17% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 70%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Kaizer Chiefs (green) and Stellenbosch (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaizer Chiefs | DDWDD | 1.40 | 1.10 | 70% | 40% |
| Stellenbosch | WDDLW | 1.00 | 0.70 | 30% | 20% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.28 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 62% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| BTTS No | 59% | 1.53 |
| Under 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Kaizer Chiefs Win | 53% | 1.65 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.