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CAF Confederation Cup · International
Kaizer Chiefs vs Red Arrows prediction and preview
23 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Kaizer Chiefs host Red Arrows in the CAF Confederation Cup (International) on 23 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS No — at least one side to fail to score. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 59% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Kaizer Chiefs had won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 10. Red Arrows had won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 3 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Kaizer Chiefs's last 10 and 2 of Red Arrows's last 10; 3 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Kaizer Chiefs averaged 1.25 goals scored and 0.88 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Red Arrows averaged 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.68 goals from Kaizer Chiefs and 1.03 from Red Arrows. From that it rates a home win at 23%, a draw at 36% and an away win at 42%, against 68%, 22% and 10% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 67%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Kaizer Chiefs (green) and Red Arrows (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaizer Chiefs | LDDDW | 1.30 | 1.00 | 60% | 30% |
| Red Arrows | WDWWW | 1.20 | 0.30 | 20% | 20% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 17 Oct 2026 · Red Arrows 1–0 Kaizer Chiefs
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 81% | 1.20 |
| Kaizer Chiefs Win | 68% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.34 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 67% | 1.35 |
| BTTS No | 59% | 1.50 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 49% | 1.95 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other CAF Confederation Cup matches that day
- Raja Casablanca vs El Kanemi Warriors · 23 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC · CAF Confederation Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.53 - 1º de Agosto vs Virunga · 23 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · CAF Confederation Cup
Published pick: Double Chance 1X