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Premier League · Kazakhstan
Kaisar vs Ordabasy prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Kaisar host Ordabasy in the Premier League (Kazakhstan) on 11 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Ordabasy Win — Ordabasy to win. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Kaisar 1–4 Ordabasy.
Going into the match, Kaisar had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 17. Ordabasy had won 8, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 23 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Kaisar's last 10 and 5 of Ordabasy's last 10; 5 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Kaisar averaged 1.29 goals scored and 1.21 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Ordabasy averaged 2.08 scored and 1.00 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.73 goals from Kaisar and 2.10 from Ordabasy. From that it rates a home win at 11%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 69%, against 18%, 22% and 60% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 69%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Kaisar (green) and Ordabasy (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 69% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 64% | 1.44 |
| Ordabasy Win | 61% | 1.50 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.75 |
| BTTS Yes | 51% | 1.82 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 46% | 2.05 |
| Ordabasy HT & FT | 41% | 2.25 |
| 0-1 | 12% | 7.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.