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Premier League · Kazakhstan
Kairat Almaty vs Zhetysu prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Kairat Almaty host Zhetysu in the Premier League (Kazakhstan) on 10 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Kairat Almaty 1–0 Zhetysu.
Going into the match, Kairat Almaty had won 4, drawn 0 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 14. Zhetysu had won 1, drawn 1 and lost 8 of their last 10, with 5 scored and 20 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of Kairat Almaty's last 10 and 4 of Zhetysu's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Kairat Almaty averaged 1.79 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Zhetysu averaged 1.14 scored and 1.79 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.48 goals from Kairat Almaty and 0.64 from Zhetysu. From that it rates a home win at 77%, a draw at 16% and an away win at 7%, against 73%, 16% and 11% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 60%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Kairat Almaty (green) and Zhetysu (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kairat Almaty | LLWWW | 1.20 | 1.40 | 20% | 60% |
| Zhetysu | LLWLL | 0.50 | 2.00 | 40% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Kairat Almaty Win | 75% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 74% | 1.25 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 57% | 1.62 |
| Kairat Almaty 1st Half Win | 56% | 1.62 |
| Kairat Almaty HT & FT | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS No | 53% | 1.77 |
| 3-0 | 12% | 7.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.