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Botola 2 · Morocco
KAC Kenitra vs Yacoub El Mansour prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
KAC Kenitra host Yacoub El Mansour in the Botola 2 (Morocco) on 4 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: KAC Kenitra 0–1 Yacoub El Mansour.
Going into the match, KAC Kenitra had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 13. Yacoub El Mansour had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of KAC Kenitra's last 10 and 7 of Yacoub El Mansour's last 10; 4 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home KAC Kenitra averaged 1.29 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Yacoub El Mansour averaged 1.13 scored and 1.38 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.02 goals from KAC Kenitra and 1.09 from Yacoub El Mansour. From that it rates a home win at 32%, a draw at 33% and an away win at 36%, against 37%, 33% and 30% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 65%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between KAC Kenitra (green) and Yacoub El Mansour (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KAC Kenitra | LWDLL | 1.20 | 1.30 | 60% | 40% |
| Yacoub El Mansour | WLWDL | 1.40 | 1.20 | 70% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 74% | 1.26 |
| Double Chance 1X | 70% | 1.30 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 59% | 1.58 |
| BTTS No | 56% | 1.63 |
| Under 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| KAC Kenitra Win | 37% | 2.40 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.75 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.