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Super League · Zambia
Kabwe Warriors vs Mutondo Stars prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Kabwe Warriors host Mutondo Stars in the Super League (Zambia) on 10 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Kabwe Warriors 3–2 Mutondo Stars.
Going into the match, Kabwe Warriors had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 11. Mutondo Stars had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 8, with 8 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Kabwe Warriors's last 10 and 4 of Mutondo Stars's last 8; 3 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Kabwe Warriors averaged 0.67 goals scored and 0.83 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Mutondo Stars averaged 0.75 scored and 1.25 conceded across 4.
The 1X2 prices imply about 50% for Kabwe Warriors, 31% for the draw and 19% for Mutondo Stars once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Kabwe Warriors (green) and Mutondo Stars (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kabwe Warriors | DLDLD | 0.80 | 1.10 | 40% | 30% |
| Mutondo Stars | LLWDW | 1.00 | 1.25 | 50% | 38% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.21 |
| Double Chance 12 | 70% | 1.27 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| BTTS No | 62% | 1.49 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 59% | 1.54 |
| Kabwe Warriors Win | 51% | 1.80 |
| Kabwe Warriors HT & FT | 31% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 30% | 2.90 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.