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Challenger Pro League · Belgium
KAA Gent II vs Seraing United prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 17:15 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
KAA Gent II host Seraing United in the Challenger Pro League (Belgium) on 11 Oct 2026, 17:15 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: KAA Gent II 3–2 Seraing United.
Going into the match, KAA Gent II had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 15. Seraing United had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of KAA Gent II's last 10 and 7 of Seraing United's last 10; 4 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home KAA Gent II averaged 0.75 goals scored and 1.25 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Seraing United averaged 1.67 scored and 2.25 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.81 goals from KAA Gent II and 1.21 from Seraing United. From that it rates a home win at 50%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 24%, against 38%, 26% and 36% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 64%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between KAA Gent II (green) and Seraing United (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KAA Gent II | DLDWL | 1.10 | 1.50 | 40% | 40% |
| Seraing United | WDLLD | 1.80 | 1.70 | 70% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 61% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.62 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.