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Serie B · Brazil
Juventude vs São Bernardo prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Juventude host São Bernardo in the Serie B (Brazil) on 11 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Juventude Win — Juventude to win. It was published at odds of 1.55, which the bookmaker market rated at about 59% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Juventude 2–2 São Bernardo.
Going into the match, Juventude had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 7. São Bernardo had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Juventude's last 10 and 6 of São Bernardo's last 10; 4 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Juventude averaged 1.42 goals scored and 0.47 conceded across 19 matches; away from home São Bernardo averaged 1.50 scored and 1.06 conceded across 16.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.41 goals from Juventude and 0.74 from São Bernardo. From that it rates a home win at 52%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 18%, against 61%, 26% and 13% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 52%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Juventude (green) and São Bernardo (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juventude | WWWLL | 1.40 | 0.70 | 30% | 40% |
| São Bernardo | LWDWW | 1.30 | 0.90 | 60% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 21 Jun 2026 · São Bernardo 0–1 Juventude
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| Juventude Win | 61% | 1.55 |
| BTTS No | 57% | 1.62 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.70 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.