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Serie B · Brazil
Juventude vs Operario-PR prediction and preview
2 Oct 2026, 23:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Juventude host Operario-PR in the Serie B (Brazil) on 2 Oct 2026, 23:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Juventude 3–0 Operario-PR.
Going into the match, Juventude had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 7. Operario-PR had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Juventude's last 10 and 6 of Operario-PR's last 10; 3 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Juventude averaged 1.33 goals scored and 0.50 conceded across 18 matches; away from home Operario-PR averaged 1.38 scored and 1.38 conceded across 16.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.81 goals from Juventude and 0.76 from Operario-PR. From that it rates a home win at 62%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 14%, against 54%, 28% and 18% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 53%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Juventude (green) and Operario-PR (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juventude | WLLWD | 1.00 | 0.70 | 30% | 30% |
| Operario-PR | DWDWW | 1.50 | 1.30 | 60% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 6 Jun 2026 · Operario-PR 2–1 Juventude
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Double Chance 12 | 71% | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 62% | 1.50 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| BTTS No | 58% | 1.62 |
| Juventude Win | 54% | 1.75 |
| Under 1.5 Goals | 35% | 2.62 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.