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Primera División RFEF - Group 2 · Spain
Juventud Torremolinos vs Gimnastic prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Juventud Torremolinos host Gimnastic in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2 (Spain) on 10 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.73, which the bookmaker market rated at about 55% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Juventud Torremolinos 2–2 Gimnastic.
Going into the match, Juventud Torremolinos had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 21. Gimnastic had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Juventud Torremolinos's last 10 and 5 of Gimnastic's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Juventud Torremolinos averaged 1.67 goals scored and 2.00 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Gimnastic averaged 0.22 scored and 1.67 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.49 goals from Juventud Torremolinos and 1.29 from Gimnastic. From that it rates a home win at 41%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 32%, against 31%, 28% and 41% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 57%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juventud Torremolinos | LLLLL | 0.90 | 2.10 | 50% | 50% |
| Gimnastic | LLLWD | 1.10 | 1.60 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| BTTS Yes | 55% | 1.73 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.90 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.90 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.