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Primera A · Colombia
Junior vs Deportivo Pereira prediction and preview
14 Oct 2026, 21:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Junior host Deportivo Pereira in the Primera A (Colombia) on 14 Oct 2026, 21:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Junior 1–1 Deportivo Pereira.
Going into the match, Junior had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 19. Deportivo Pereira had won 1, drawn 4 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 20 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Junior's last 10 and 6 of Deportivo Pereira's last 10; 6 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Junior averaged 1.73 goals scored and 1.27 conceded across 15 matches; away from home Deportivo Pereira averaged 0.64 scored and 1.55 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.68 goals from Junior and 0.85 from Deportivo Pereira. From that it rates a home win at 56%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 18%, against 75%, 17% and 8% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 46%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Junior (green) and Deportivo Pereira (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Junior | DLLWW | 1.70 | 1.90 | 80% | 60% |
| Deportivo Pereira | DLLDD | 0.80 | 2.00 | 60% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Junior Win | 75% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Junior 1st Half Win | 57% | 1.62 |
| Junior HT & FT | 55% | 1.73 |
| BTTS No | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.