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J2 League · Japan

Jubilo Iwata vs Consadole Sapporo prediction and preview

10 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Under 3.5 GoalsOdds 1.40Market probability 67%Final score 1–0

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Jubilo Iwata host Consadole Sapporo in the J2 League (Japan) on 10 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Jubilo Iwata 1–0 Consadole Sapporo.

Going into the match, Jubilo Iwata had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 11. Consadole Sapporo had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 21 conceded.

Both teams scored in 6 of Jubilo Iwata's last 10 and 9 of Consadole Sapporo's last 10; 7 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Jubilo Iwata averaged 1.10 goals scored and 1.20 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Consadole Sapporo averaged 1.36 scored and 1.09 conceded across 11.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.34 goals from Jubilo Iwata and 1.15 from Consadole Sapporo. From that it rates a home win at 40%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 31%, against 52%, 25% and 22% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 76%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Jubilo Iwata (green) and Consadole Sapporo (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form38% – 63%
Attack36% – 64%
Defence59% – 41%
Head-to-head60% – 40%
Goals63% – 38%
Overall strength51% – 49%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
Jubilo IwataLWLLW1.601.1060%70%
Consadole SapporoWLLDD1.202.1090%70%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
BTTS 1st Half - No78%1.20
Double Chance 1X77%1.22
Over 1.5 Goals76%1.22
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals70%1.33
Under 3.5 Goals67%1.40
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals65%1.44
BTTS Yes55%1.73
Over 2.5 Goals54%1.75

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

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