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Liga MX U21 · Mexico
Juarez U21 vs Club Tijuana U21 prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Juarez U21 host Club Tijuana U21 in the Liga MX U21 (Mexico) on 10 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Club Tijuana U21 to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Juarez U21 1–0 Club Tijuana U21.
Going into the match, Juarez U21 had won 1, drawn 5 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 10. Club Tijuana U21 had won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Juarez U21's last 10 and 6 of Club Tijuana U21's last 10; 1 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Juarez U21 averaged 1.00 goals scored and 0.63 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Club Tijuana U21 averaged 1.17 scored and 1.83 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.09 goals from Juarez U21 and 0.92 from Club Tijuana U21. From that it rates a home win at 38%, a draw at 33% and an away win at 29%, against 38%, 28% and 34% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 62%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Juarez U21 (green) and Club Tijuana U21 (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juarez U21 | LLDDD | 0.60 | 1.00 | 50% | 10% |
| Club Tijuana U21 | DLWDW | 1.60 | 1.00 | 60% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 68% | 1.35 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.38 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.75 |
| BTTS Yes | 51% | 1.81 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 45% | 2.05 |
| Club Tijuana U21 Win | 34% | 2.62 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.25 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.