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Division 2 - Västra Götaland · Sweden
Jonsered vs Västra Frölunda prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Jonsered host Västra Frölunda in the Division 2 - Västra Götaland (Sweden) on 18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Jonsered 2–3 Västra Frölunda.
Going into the match, Jonsered had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 15. Västra Frölunda had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 20 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Jonsered's last 10 and 4 of Västra Frölunda's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Jonsered averaged 2.09 goals scored and 1.64 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Västra Frölunda averaged 1.36 scored and 2.18 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.74 goals from Jonsered and 1.67 from Västra Frölunda. From that it rates a home win at 39%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 36%, against 43%, 23% and 34% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 66%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Jonsered (green) and Västra Frölunda (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonsered | LWDLW | 1.60 | 1.50 | 70% | 50% |
| Västra Frölunda | LDWLL | 0.90 | 2.00 | 40% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 76% | 1.20 |
| BTTS Yes | 69% | 1.33 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 69% | 1.34 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 67% | 1.44 |
| Double Chance 1X | 66% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 52% | 1.75 |
| Jonsered Win | 43% | 2.10 |
| Jonsered HT & FT | 27% | 3.40 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- Jonsered form and statistics
- Västra Frölunda form and statistics
- Division 2 - Västra Götaland statistics
Other Division 2 - Västra Götaland matches that day
- Åstorp vs Galtabacks · 18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Published pick: Double Chance X2 @ 1.91 · FT 4–0 - Astrio vs Dalstorps · 18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 1–5 - Böljan vs Kongahälla · 18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.40 · FT 1–3 - Hestrafor vs Landvetter IS · 18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 - Qviding FIF vs Lindome · 18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.40 · FT 3–1 - Torslanda vs Onsala · 18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.20 · FT 3–2