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Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong AZ vs Den Bosch prediction and preview
9 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Jong AZ host Den Bosch in the Eerste Divisie (Netherlands) on 9 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Jong AZ to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Jong AZ 0–1 Den Bosch.
Going into the match, Jong AZ had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 29 and conceding 18. Den Bosch had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 18 conceded.
Both teams scored in 9 of Jong AZ's last 10 and 7 of Den Bosch's last 10; 8 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Jong AZ averaged 1.88 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Den Bosch averaged 0.71 scored and 2.29 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.59 goals from Jong AZ and 1.23 from Den Bosch. From that it rates a home win at 66%, a draw at 19% and an away win at 16%, against 49%, 22% and 28% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 85%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Jong AZ (green) and Den Bosch (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 79% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 65% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Over 1.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
| Under 11.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Jong AZ Win | 49% | 1.90 |
| Jong AZ HT & FT | 33% | 2.88 |
| 2-2 | 10% | 10.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.