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Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong Ajax vs VVV Venlo prediction and preview
9 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Jong Ajax host VVV Venlo in the Eerste Divisie (Netherlands) on 9 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Jong Ajax 0–3 VVV Venlo.
Going into the match, Jong Ajax had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 25. VVV Venlo had won 6, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 25 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Jong Ajax's last 10 and 7 of VVV Venlo's last 10; 6 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Jong Ajax averaged 1.33 goals scored and 2.33 conceded across 6 matches; away from home VVV Venlo averaged 2.00 scored and 2.43 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.39 goals from Jong Ajax and 2.84 from VVV Venlo. From that it rates a home win at 16%, a draw at 17% and an away win at 67%, against 33%, 24% and 44% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 71%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Jong Ajax (green) and VVV Venlo (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 77% | 1.22 |
| BTTS Yes | 72% | 1.30 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 66% | 1.40 |
| Over 10.5 Corners | 52% | 1.82 |
| 1st Half Over 1.5 Goals | 50% | 1.83 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 50% | 1.83 |
| VVV Venlo Win | 44% | 2.15 |
| VVV Venlo HT & FT | 28% | 3.40 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.