Johvi Phoenix vs Luunja prediction and preview

15 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Double Chance 1XOdds 1.44Market probability 67%Final score 1–3

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Johvi Phoenix host Luunja in the Esiliiga B (Estonia) on 15 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Johvi Phoenix to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Johvi Phoenix 1–3 Luunja.

Going into the match, Johvi Phoenix had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 21 and conceding 22. Luunja had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 20 conceded.

Both teams scored in 7 of Johvi Phoenix's last 10 and 7 of Luunja's last 10; 8 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Johvi Phoenix averaged 3.23 goals scored and 2.38 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Luunja averaged 1.46 scored and 2.15 conceded across 13.

Our team-strength model expects about 2.15 goals from Johvi Phoenix and 2.25 from Luunja. From that it rates a home win at 38%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 41%, against 44%, 20% and 36% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 59%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Johvi Phoenix (green) and Luunja (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form60% – 40%

Attack63% – 37%

Defence36% – 64%

Head-to-head50% – 50%

Goals50% – 50%

Overall strength52% – 47%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Johvi Phoenix	LWWWL	2.10	2.20	70%	80%
Luunja	WLLWL	1.40	2.00	70%	70%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

23 Aug 2026 · Luunja 2–3 Johvi Phoenix
14 Jun 2026 · Johvi Phoenix 2–4 Luunja

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Double Chance 1X	67%	1.44
1st Half Over 1.5 Goals	61%	1.53
Johvi Phoenix Win	46%	2.05
Johvi Phoenix HT & FT	34%	2.75

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.