Home › League stats › Esiliiga B › JK Tabasalu vs Luunja
Esiliiga B · Estonia
JK Tabasalu vs Luunja prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 09:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
JK Tabasalu host Luunja in the Esiliiga B (Estonia) on 11 Oct 2026, 09:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — JK Tabasalu to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.67, which the bookmaker market rated at about 54% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: JK Tabasalu 1–2 Luunja.
Going into the match, JK Tabasalu had won 1, drawn 3 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 29. Luunja had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 23 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of JK Tabasalu's last 10 and 7 of Luunja's last 10; 8 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home JK Tabasalu averaged 1.57 goals scored and 2.07 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Luunja averaged 1.42 scored and 2.25 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.59 goals from JK Tabasalu and 2.49 from Luunja. From that it rates a home win at 23%, a draw at 20% and an away win at 57%, against 35%, 20% and 45% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 43%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between JK Tabasalu (green) and Luunja (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JK Tabasalu | LDLWL | 1.10 | 2.90 | 70% | 80% |
| Luunja | LLWLL | 1.70 | 2.30 | 70% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 5 Sep 2026 · JK Tabasalu 3–2 Luunja
- 18 Jun 2026 · Luunja 1–3 JK Tabasalu
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 66% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Over 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.70 |
| JK Tabasalu Win | 34% | 2.60 |
| Luunja HT & FT | 31% | 3.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.