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K4 League · South Korea
Jinju Citizen vs Geoje Citizen prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 07:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Jinju Citizen host Geoje Citizen in the K4 League (South Korea) on 3 Oct 2026, 07:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Jinju Citizen Win — Jinju Citizen to win. It was published at odds of 1.48, which the bookmaker market rated at about 60% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Jinju Citizen 0–0 Geoje Citizen.
Going into the match, Jinju Citizen had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 9. Geoje Citizen had won 5, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Jinju Citizen's last 10 and 5 of Geoje Citizen's last 10; 4 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Jinju Citizen averaged 2.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Geoje Citizen averaged 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.50 goals from Jinju Citizen and 1.14 from Geoje Citizen. From that it rates a home win at 44%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 28%, against 60%, 22% and 18% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 44%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Jinju Citizen (green) and Geoje Citizen (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jinju Citizen | WLDWL | 1.80 | 0.90 | 60% | 40% |
| Geoje Citizen | WWLLW | 1.70 | 1.60 | 50% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 10 May 2026 · Geoje Citizen 2–2 Jinju Citizen
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 74% | 1.24 |
| Jinju Citizen Win | 60% | 1.48 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.55 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.58 |
| Jinju Citizen HT & FT | 41% | 2.25 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 40% | 2.35 |
| 2-0 | 11% | 8.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.