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K4 League · South Korea
Jincheon vs Jungnang Chorus Mustang prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Jincheon host Jungnang Chorus Mustang in the K4 League (South Korea) on 4 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Jungnang Chorus Mustang to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.80, which the bookmaker market rated at about 52% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Jincheon 4–0 Jungnang Chorus Mustang.
Going into the match, Jincheon had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 15. Jungnang Chorus Mustang had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 22 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Jincheon's last 10 and 7 of Jungnang Chorus Mustang's last 10; 5 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Jincheon averaged 1.75 goals scored and 0.75 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Jungnang Chorus Mustang averaged 2.13 scored and 1.38 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.64 goals from Jincheon and 1.36 from Jungnang Chorus Mustang. From that it rates a home win at 43%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 31%, against 48%, 24% and 28% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 57%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Jincheon (green) and Jungnang Chorus Mustang (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jincheon | DLWWL | 1.50 | 1.50 | 70% | 50% |
| Jungnang Chorus Mustang | WWLWW | 2.20 | 1.40 | 70% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 10 May 2026 · Jungnang Chorus Mustang 0–0 Jincheon
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.25 |
| BTTS Yes | 60% | 1.52 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 59% | 1.60 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.55 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 41% | 2.30 |
| Jincheon HT & FT | 32% | 2.88 |
| Draw | 24% | 3.70 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.