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League Two · China
Jiangxi Liansheng vs Dalian Kewei prediction and preview
7 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Jiangxi Liansheng host Dalian Kewei in the League Two (China) on 7 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Jiangxi Liansheng 0–1 Dalian Kewei.
Going into the match, Jiangxi Liansheng had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 9. Dalian Kewei had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Jiangxi Liansheng's last 10 and 5 of Dalian Kewei's last 10; 3 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Jiangxi Liansheng averaged 1.15 goals scored and 0.85 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Dalian Kewei averaged 0.75 scored and 0.83 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.79 goals from Jiangxi Liansheng and 0.87 from Dalian Kewei. From that it rates a home win at 29%, a draw at 37% and an away win at 34%, against 28%, 31% and 42% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 77%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Jiangxi Liansheng (green) and Dalian Kewei (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jiangxi Liansheng | WLWLW | 0.90 | 0.90 | 40% | 30% |
| Dalian Kewei | DWLWD | 1.20 | 0.90 | 50% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 73% | 1.25 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 59% | 1.58 |
| BTTS No | 56% | 1.64 |
| Under 8.5 Corners | 52% | 1.82 |
| Dalian Kewei Win | 42% | 2.15 |
| Draw | 31% | 2.90 |
| 0-0 | 15% | 6.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.