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1. Liga · Latvia

JFK Ventspils vs Mārupe prediction and preview

18 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Double Chance X2Odds 1.41Market probability 66%Final score 0–0

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

JFK Ventspils host Mārupe in the 1. Liga (Latvia) on 18 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Mārupe to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.41, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: JFK Ventspils 0–0 Mārupe.

Going into the match, JFK Ventspils had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 25. Mārupe had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 19 conceded.

Both teams scored in 5 of JFK Ventspils's last 10 and 5 of Mārupe's last 10; 5 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home JFK Ventspils averaged 0.50 goals scored and 1.80 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Mārupe averaged 1.64 scored and 1.55 conceded across 11.

Our team-strength model expects about 0.89 goals from JFK Ventspils and 1.22 from Mārupe. From that it rates a home win at 26%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 42%, against 34%, 25% and 41% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 74%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between JFK Ventspils (green) and Mārupe (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form30% – 70%
Attack18% – 82%
Defence33% – 67%
Head-to-head60% – 40%
Goals54% – 46%
Overall strength36% – 64%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
JFK VentspilsLLWLL0.602.5050%50%
MārupeWDWLL1.501.9050%70%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

More on this match

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