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Ligue 1 · Tunisia

Jeunesse Sportive Omrane vs AS Marsa prediction and preview

11 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Under 2.5 GoalsOdds 1.44Market probability 64%Final score 0–0

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Jeunesse Sportive Omrane host AS Marsa in the Ligue 1 (Tunisia) on 11 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Jeunesse Sportive Omrane 0–0 AS Marsa.

Going into the match, Jeunesse Sportive Omrane had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 12. AS Marsa had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 13 conceded.

Both teams scored in 6 of Jeunesse Sportive Omrane's last 10 and 4 of AS Marsa's last 10; 4 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Jeunesse Sportive Omrane averaged 1.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 6 matches; away from home AS Marsa averaged 1.14 scored and 1.57 conceded across 7.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.02 goals from Jeunesse Sportive Omrane and 0.80 from AS Marsa. From that it rates a home win at 38%, a draw at 35% and an away win at 27%, against 41%, 31% and 28% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 73%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Jeunesse Sportive Omrane (green) and AS Marsa (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form64% – 36%
Attack71% – 29%
Defence43% – 57%
Head-to-head20% – 80%
Goals43% – 57%
Overall strength54% – 45%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
Jeunesse Sportive OmraneWDWLL1.101.2060%40%
AS MarsaWLDLD1.001.3040%50%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
Double Chance 1X72%1.28
Under 2.5 Goals64%1.44
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals58%1.60
BTTS No57%1.59
Jeunesse Sportive Omrane Win41%2.15
Draw32%2.90
0-017%5.50

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

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