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2. SNL · Slovenia
Jesenice vs Brežice prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Jesenice host Brežice in the 2. SNL (Slovenia) on 10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.57, which the bookmaker market rated at about 59% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Jesenice 2–2 Brežice.
Going into the match, Jesenice had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 13. Brežice had won 0, drawn 2 and lost 8 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 23 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Jesenice's last 10 and 7 of Brežice's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Jesenice averaged 1.56 goals scored and 1.44 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Brežice averaged 1.00 scored and 1.75 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.12 goals from Jesenice and 1.33 from Brežice. From that it rates a home win at 55%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 23%, against 54%, 24% and 22% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 67%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Jesenice (green) and Brežice (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 76% | 1.21 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 60% | 1.50 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.56 |
| Jesenice Win | 54% | 1.65 |
| Jesenice HT & FT | 37% | 2.50 |
| Draw | 24% | 3.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.