jerv vs Sotra prediction and preview

18 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Under 3.5 GoalsOdds 1.53Market probability 61%Final score 4–3

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

jerv host Sotra in the 2. Division - Group 1 (Norway) on 18 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: jerv 4–3 Sotra.

Going into the match, jerv had won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 11. Sotra had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 27 scored and 11 conceded.

Both teams scored in 6 of jerv's last 10 and 6 of Sotra's last 10; 7 and 9 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home jerv averaged 1.83 goals scored and 0.92 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Sotra averaged 2.08 scored and 1.17 conceded across 12.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.66 goals from jerv and 1.50 from Sotra. From that it rates a home win at 41%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 34%, against 52%, 23% and 25% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 61%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between jerv (green) and Sotra (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form55% – 45%

Attack48% – 52%

Defence57% – 43%

Head-to-head71% – 29%

Goals69% – 31%

Overall strength60% – 40%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
jerv	DDWWL	2.00	1.10	60%	70%
Sotra	WLWLD	2.70	1.10	60%	90%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

28 Jun 2026 · Sotra 1–3 jerv

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Double Chance 1X	76%	1.22
BTTS 1st Half - No	75%	1.25
Under 3.5 Goals	61%	1.53
BTTS Yes	59%	1.62
Over 2.5 Goals	59%	1.57
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	59%	1.58
Under 10.5 Corners	54%	1.73
jerv Win	52%	1.70

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.