Home › League stats › Ettan - Norra › Järfälla vs Hammarby Talang
Ettan - Norra · Sweden
Järfälla vs Hammarby Talang prediction and preview
23 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Järfälla host Hammarby Talang in the Ettan - Norra (Sweden) on 23 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.57, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Järfälla had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 21. Hammarby Talang had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Järfälla's last 10 and 5 of Hammarby Talang's last 10; 7 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Järfälla averaged 1.21 goals scored and 2.43 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Hammarby Talang averaged 2.23 scored and 1.00 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.98 goals from Järfälla and 2.32 from Hammarby Talang. From that it rates a home win at 14%, a draw at 20% and an away win at 66%, against 19%, 24% and 58% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 64%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Järfälla (green) and Hammarby Talang (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Järfälla | WLDLL | 1.40 | 2.10 | 60% | 70% |
| Hammarby Talang | WLLWL | 0.90 | 1.30 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 18 Jun 2026 · Hammarby Talang 1–1 Järfälla
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 61% | 1.57 |
| Hammarby Talang Win | 59% | 1.55 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.62 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 53% | 1.74 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.