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Liga Mayor · Dominican Republic
Jarabacoa vs Universidad O&M prediction and preview
23 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Jarabacoa host Universidad O&M in the Liga Mayor (Dominican Republic) on 23 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Universidad O&M Win — Universidad O&M to win. It was published at odds of 1.62, which the bookmaker market rated at about 57% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Jarabacoa 4–3 Universidad O&M.
Going into the match, Jarabacoa had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 18. Universidad O&M had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Jarabacoa's last 10 and 5 of Universidad O&M's last 10; 4 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Jarabacoa averaged 0.60 goals scored and 1.20 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Universidad O&M averaged 1.17 scored and 1.67 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.22 goals from Jarabacoa and 1.79 from Universidad O&M. From that it rates a home win at 25%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 50%, against 21%, 24% and 56% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 50%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Jarabacoa (green) and Universidad O&M (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarabacoa | LDDLL | 0.60 | 1.80 | 30% | 40% |
| Universidad O&M | DWLLW | 1.30 | 0.80 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 12 Sep 2026 · Universidad O&M 4–0 Jarabacoa
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 69% | 1.31 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.44 |
| Universidad O&M Win | 57% | 1.62 |
| BTTS Yes | 51% | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 49% | 1.95 |
| Universidad O&M HT & FT | 37% | 2.50 |
| 0-1 | 13% | 7.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.