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Primera Division · Nicaragua
Jalapa vs Managua prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Jalapa host Managua in the Primera Division (Nicaragua) on 11 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Managua Win — Managua to win. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Jalapa 0–1 Managua.
Going into the match, Jalapa had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 16. Managua had won 8, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 10, with 33 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Jalapa's last 10 and 7 of Managua's last 10; 4 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Jalapa averaged 1.09 goals scored and 0.73 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Managua averaged 3.00 scored and 1.13 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.98 goals from Jalapa and 2.73 from Managua. From that it rates a home win at 10%, a draw at 16% and an away win at 74%, against 18%, 23% and 59% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 74%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Jalapa (green) and Managua (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 26 Jul 2026 · Managua 3–0 Jalapa
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 62% | 1.49 |
| Managua Win | 60% | 1.50 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.74 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 45% | 2.08 |
| Managua HT & FT | 35% | 2.62 |
| 0-1 | 12% | 7.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.