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Second League - Group 4 · Russia
Izhevsk vs Orenburg II prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Izhevsk host Orenburg II in the Second League - Group 4 (Russia) on 4 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.58, which the bookmaker market rated at about 59% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Izhevsk 3–1 Orenburg II.
Going into the match, Izhevsk had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 19. Orenburg II had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 9 of Izhevsk's last 10 and 6 of Orenburg II's last 10; 9 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Izhevsk averaged 1.43 goals scored and 1.29 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Orenburg II averaged 0.92 scored and 2.08 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.69 goals from Izhevsk and 1.18 from Orenburg II. From that it rates a home win at 48%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 26%, against 40%, 24% and 36% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 55%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Izhevsk (green) and Orenburg II (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Izhevsk | LWWLL | 1.30 | 1.90 | 90% | 90% |
| Orenburg II | LDDWW | 1.60 | 1.30 | 60% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 7 Sep 2026 · Orenburg II 3–0 Izhevsk
- 9 Aug 2026 · Orenburg II 3–2 Izhevsk
- 31 May 2026 · Izhevsk 2–2 Orenburg II
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 77% | 1.26 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.23 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 62% | 1.52 |
| BTTS Yes | 60% | 1.58 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 59% | 1.58 |
| Izhevsk Win | 40% | 2.37 |
| Over 3.5 Goals | 38% | 2.48 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.