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J2 League · Japan
Iwaki vs Ventforet Kofu prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 04:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Iwaki host Ventforet Kofu in the J2 League (Japan) on 18 Oct 2026, 04:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 74% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Iwaki 5–0 Ventforet Kofu.
Going into the match, Iwaki had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 14. Ventforet Kofu had won 4, drawn 0 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 19 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Iwaki's last 10 and 7 of Ventforet Kofu's last 10; 4 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Iwaki averaged 0.90 goals scored and 0.90 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Ventforet Kofu averaged 0.87 scored and 1.67 conceded across 15.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.77 goals from Iwaki and 0.91 from Ventforet Kofu. From that it rates a home win at 57%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 18%, against 52%, 26% and 22% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 76%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Iwaki (green) and Ventforet Kofu (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iwaki | WLLLW | 0.90 | 1.40 | 30% | 40% |
| Ventforet Kofu | WLLLL | 1.20 | 1.90 | 70% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 9 May 2026 · Iwaki 0–1 Ventforet Kofu
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.28 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 74% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 71% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| Iwaki Win | 53% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.83 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.95 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.