Home › League stats › Primera B Metropolitana › Ituzaingó vs Argentino Quilmes
Primera B Metropolitana · Argentina
Ituzaingó vs Argentino Quilmes prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Ituzaingó host Argentino Quilmes in the Primera B Metropolitana (Argentina) on 10 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Ituzaingó 2–2 Argentino Quilmes.
Going into the match, Ituzaingó had won 0, drawn 3 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 17. Argentino Quilmes had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 5 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Ituzaingó's last 10 and 2 of Argentino Quilmes's last 10; 4 and 1 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Ituzaingó averaged 0.60 goals scored and 1.33 conceded across 15 matches; away from home Argentino Quilmes averaged 0.79 scored and 1.00 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.82 goals from Ituzaingó and 1.02 from Argentino Quilmes. From that it rates a home win at 27%, a draw at 35% and an away win at 38%, against 23%, 31% and 47% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 72%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ituzaingó | LLLDL | 0.70 | 1.70 | 50% | 40% |
| Argentino Quilmes | DDDWL | 0.50 | 0.90 | 20% | 10% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 1 Jun 2026 · Argentino Quilmes 2–0 Ituzaingó
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 62% | 1.50 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 62% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| BTTS No | 57% | 1.62 |
| Under 8.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| Argentino Quilmes Win | 48% | 1.91 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.