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Botola Pro · Morocco

Ittihad Tanger vs Moghreb Tetouan prediction and preview

2 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Double Chance 1XOdds 1.20Market probability 78%Final score 1–1

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Ittihad Tanger host Moghreb Tetouan in the Botola Pro (Morocco) on 2 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Ittihad Tanger to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.20, which the bookmaker market rated at about 78% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Ittihad Tanger 1–1 Moghreb Tetouan.

Going into the match, Ittihad Tanger had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 8. Moghreb Tetouan had won 4, drawn 5 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 6 conceded.

Both teams scored in 5 of Ittihad Tanger's last 10 and 3 of Moghreb Tetouan's last 10; 4 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Ittihad Tanger averaged 1.44 goals scored and 0.67 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Moghreb Tetouan averaged 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded across 4.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.26 goals from Ittihad Tanger and 0.74 from Moghreb Tetouan. From that it rates a home win at 48%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 21%, against 48%, 30% and 22% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 80%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Ittihad Tanger (green) and Moghreb Tetouan (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form75% – 25%
Attack100% – 0%
Defence0% – 100%
Head-to-head38% – 62%
Goals50% – 50%
Overall strength54% – 45%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
Ittihad TangerWWWWL1.500.8050%40%
Moghreb TetouanDWWWD1.100.6030%20%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
Double Chance 1X78%1.20
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals75%1.25
Under 2.5 Goals63%1.50
Over 1.5 Goals63%1.50
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals61%1.53
BTTS No58%1.62
Ittihad Tanger Win48%1.90
Over 2.5 Goals38%2.50

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

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