Home › League stats › Second League › Itesalat vs El Mansura
Second League · Egypt
Itesalat vs El Mansura prediction and preview
9 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Itesalat host El Mansura in the Second League (Egypt) on 9 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Itesalat 0–1 El Mansura.
Going into the match, Itesalat had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 11. El Mansura had won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of Itesalat's last 10 and 5 of El Mansura's last 10; 5 and 1 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Itesalat averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 6 matches; away from home El Mansura averaged 0.57 scored and 1.00 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.11 goals from Itesalat and 0.86 from El Mansura. From that it rates a home win at 40%, a draw at 34% and an away win at 27%, against 46%, 31% and 23% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 69%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Itesalat (green) and El Mansura (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Itesalat | WWLWW | 1.10 | 1.10 | 20% | 50% |
| El Mansura | WLDDW | 1.00 | 0.90 | 50% | 10% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 68% | 1.30 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 67% | 1.44 |
| BTTS No | 61% | 1.51 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
| Itesalat Win | 45% | 1.95 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.90 |
| Itesalat HT & FT | 29% | 3.20 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.