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Vysshaya Liga · Tajikistan

Istiqlol vs Khatlon prediction and preview

10 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Double Chance 1XNo price

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Istiqlol host Khatlon in the Vysshaya Liga (Tajikistan) on 10 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Istiqlol to win or draw. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.

Going into the match, Istiqlol had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 3. Khatlon had won 1, drawn 7 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 15 conceded.

Both teams scored in 1 of Istiqlol's last 10 and 7 of Khatlon's last 10; 2 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Istiqlol averaged 2.00 goals scored and 0.25 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Khatlon averaged 1.43 scored and 1.57 conceded across 7.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.49 goals from Istiqlol and 0.55 from Khatlon. From that it rates a home win at 59%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 13%. For the published pick itself the model gives 88%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Istiqlol (green) and Khatlon (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form60% – 40%
Attack40% – 60%
Defence80% – 20%
Head-to-head85% – 15%
Goals88% – 13%
Overall strength73% – 26%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
IstiqlolLWWWL1.300.3010%20%
KhatlonLDDDW1.401.5070%40%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

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